Nacionales (ingles)
The argument that exports compete with domestic consumption is back. The corollary is the idea that in order to protect consumption, exports must be limited. But the solution is the other way around. Exports must be increased to generate the foreign currency needed to expand production and consumption. (more…)
MOREFuel shortages add another factor to the deterioration of people’s quality of life and the economy. As with the acceleration of inflation, the war in Ukraine added difficulties, but Argentina’s problems are the result of its irresponsibility in the formulation of public policies. (more…)
MOREThe pension disorder is one of the main sources of fiscal deficit. Its regulation requires unification so that all workers have the same pension rules. However, from both sides of the political spectrum there is a broad consensus in creating special regimes with more advantageous conditions for some. (more…)
MOREThe government declared war on inflation with the same instruments it has been using so far. It continues to underestimate the impact of excess money printing on prices. Nevertheless, the most contradictory thing is that the government itself needs higher inflation to reduce public spending in real terms. (more…)
MOREThe Argentine crisis is caused by the public sector’s propensity to mismanage and overspend its revenues. This originates more in the State’s disorder than in exogenous factors. The war in Ukraine is now emerging as a new excuse to go on postponing a comprehensive reorganization of the State. (more…)
MOREThe agreement with the IMF sets deficit and monetary targets expressed in nominal pesos. Moreover, policies making compliance unlikely are presented. The IMF staff will limit itself to explicit the non-compliance. The IMF Board of Directors will have to give “pardons” for the agreement not to collapse. (more…)
MOREThe tragedy in Ukraine will have a global economic impact. In principle, Argentina is not so vulnerable because it exports much more cereals and soybeans than it imports gas. But if it keeps utility tariffs frozen, the increase in gas imports will add another destabilizing factor. (more…)
MOREA critical point in the negotiations with the IMF is the reduction of economic subsidies. To this end, it is crucial to update utility rates and eliminate assistance to state-owned companies. In this context, proposing the creation of a state-own food company is extremely contradictory. (more…)
MORETogether with electricity distribution and urban transport, water and sanitation is another public service in AMBA that the federal government should stop administering. The service should be transferred to CABA and Buenos Aires province so that they manage the service as in the rest of the country. (more…)
MOREThe fiscal deficit is highly sensitive to economic subsidies. For this reason, it is difficult to comply with the path agreed with the IMF without revising them. This requires not only the establishment of a new tariff regime but also an orderly reorganization of how state services are organized. (more…)
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