Nacionales (ingles)
The more the soya-dollar increases reserves, the more monetary issuance there will be, consequently, more inflation. There is an underlying obsession with increasing reserves when efforts should be focused on lowering public spending. The problem is not a lack of dollars in the economy, but that there are too many pesos. (more…)
MOREThe economic crisis ceased to be the center of attention due to the serious incident suffered by the vice-president. But the economic situation goes on worsening. Proof of this is that what the Central Bank spends on Leliqs interest is already equivalent to two-thirds of what the ANSES spends on pensions and retirement benefits. (more…)
MOREThe coming inflationary acceleration is not new. It is the result of postponing the reorganization of the State and financing the deficit with monetary printing and debt. It has already happened to Cristina Kirchner and Cambiemos. The question now is whether the opposition this time is ready and willing to organize the State. (more…)
MOREThe Minister of Economy resigned in the context of a strong exchange rate instability. The Vice-President blames it on the “festival of imports”. The evidence shows that there is no excess of imports, but an excess of monetary emission due to the disorder of the State. This is what puts pressure on the dollar. (more…)
MOREIn the context of the crisis acceleration, a new renewal of the national cabinet was abruptly announced. The main change is the appointment of a minister of the economy with more political support. However, the success of his administration will depend on whether the leadership will be used to address the fiscal problem. (more…)
MOREA large part of the political system adheres to the idea that fiscal balance is not essential because inflation is a multi-causal phenomenon. Without denying the multi-causality, the truth is that –in the case of Argentina– the enormous disorder of the State is the main cause of recurrent inflationary crises. (more…)
MOREIt is unlikely that the Treasury will be able to roll over all the peso debt maturing in the coming months. This will force the Central Bank to add money printing –additional to the already allocated– to finance the fiscal deficit. It is demonstrated that debt in pesos is as traumatic as debt in dollars. (more…)
MOREThe discussion between the vice-president and the piqueteros movement confirms that welfare is useful for clientelism and corruption, but not for the poor. Social assistance should be decentralized to local governments. However, the most important thing is to create the conditions to generate more quality jobs. (more…)
MOREThe exponential increase in energy subsidies accelerates fiscal destabilization. The government’s incoherent tariff segmentation mechanism will not solve the problem. This is further evidence that in order to implement progressive public policies, an orderly and professionalized State is needed. (more…)
MOREThe Néstor Kirchner Gas Pipeline is a source of controversy both for the enormous costs caused by the delays in its construction and for the political conflict it generates. But the most important thing is that it reveals the deep and structural management deficit of the State. (more…)
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